OmmAlpha · VCP Stage Engine V3 Shadow

Read-only live comparison. Nothing on this page writes to production tables or changes ML predictions.

2026-10-01Live scan date

1Rows shadow-tested

1Stage classifications changed

vcp-stage-v3-shadow-1.0Shadow engine

Core V3 rule: pivot comes from confirmed swing resistance preceding the final contraction trough. A fresh breakout spike needs future bars before it can become a confirmed swing, so the pivot cannot chase the breakout upward the next day.

Why shadow mode first: Phase 2A ML was trained on the old detector population. Switching stage/pivot definitions without rebuilding historical signals and retraining would create model-population drift.

Stage distribution

Current production

V3 shadow

DEVELOPED: 1

Live stage comparison

Symbol	Old stage	V3 stage	Detail	Old pivot	V3 structural pivot	V3 distance	Pivot evidence	Contractions	Breakout evidence	Confidence
AEGISVOPAK close 292.00		DEVELOPED	MATURE_BASE	320.95 9.02% below	320.95 2026-09-21	9.02% below	CONFIRMED_SWING_RESISTANCE touches 3	15.8% → 14.2% → 8.7% → 5.8%	—	79%

AEGISVOPAK · V3 reasons

V3 structural pivot 320.95 (CONFIRMED_SWING_RESISTANCE, touches 3)
4 contraction(s); tightening 100%
final contraction 5.8%
9.02% below structural pivot
5D/20D volume 0.61x
day/20D breakout volume 0.87x
stage detail MATURE_BASE

Thresholds: confirm 0.54% · failure buffer 3.22% · pre-breakout zone 7.00% · extended 10.73%