OmmAlpha · VCP Stage Engine V3 Shadow

Read-only live comparison. Nothing on this page writes to production tables or changes ML predictions.

2026-09-30Live scan date

1Rows shadow-tested

0Stage classifications changed

vcp-stage-v3-shadow-1.0Shadow engine

Core V3 rule: pivot comes from confirmed swing resistance preceding the final contraction trough. A fresh breakout spike needs future bars before it can become a confirmed swing, so the pivot cannot chase the breakout upward the next day.

Why shadow mode first: Phase 2A ML was trained on the old detector population. Switching stage/pivot definitions without rebuilding historical signals and retraining would create model-population drift.

Stage distribution

Current production

BREAKOUT: 1

V3 shadow

BREAKOUT: 1

Live stage comparison

Symbol	Old stage	V3 stage	Detail	Old pivot	V3 structural pivot	V3 distance	Pivot evidence	Contractions	Breakout evidence	Confidence
BELRISE close 240.50	BREAKOUT	BREAKOUT	RETESTING_PIVOT	239.70 0.33% above	239.25 2026-09-04	0.52% above	CONFIRMED_SWING_RESISTANCE touches 6	15.7% → 6.0%	breakout confirmed from prior close/volume behavior on 2026-09-18	90%

BELRISE · V3 reasons

V3 structural pivot 239.25 (CONFIRMED_SWING_RESISTANCE, touches 6)
2 contraction(s); tightening 100%
final contraction 6.0%
0.52% above structural pivot
5D/20D volume 0.81x
day/20D breakout volume 0.31x
breakout confirmed from prior close/volume behavior on 2026-09-18
stage detail RETESTING_PIVOT

Thresholds: confirm 0.29% · failure buffer 1.73% · pre-breakout zone 3.89% · extended 8.00%