OmmAlpha · VCP Stage Engine V3 Shadow

Read-only live comparison. Nothing on this page writes to production tables or changes ML predictions.

2026-09-30Live scan date

1Rows shadow-tested

0Stage classifications changed

vcp-stage-v3-shadow-1.0Shadow engine

Core V3 rule: pivot comes from confirmed swing resistance preceding the final contraction trough. A fresh breakout spike needs future bars before it can become a confirmed swing, so the pivot cannot chase the breakout upward the next day.

Why shadow mode first: Phase 2A ML was trained on the old detector population. Switching stage/pivot definitions without rebuilding historical signals and retraining would create model-population drift.

Stage distribution

Current production

BREAKOUT: 1

V3 shadow

BREAKOUT: 1

Live stage comparison

Symbol	Old stage	V3 stage	Detail	Old pivot	V3 structural pivot	V3 distance	Pivot evidence	Contractions	Breakout evidence	Confidence
CARBORUNIV close 1,250.00	BREAKOUT	BREAKOUT	CONFIRMED_BREAKOUT	1,151.00 8.60% above	1,151.00 2026-09-07	8.60% above	CONFIRMED_SWING_RESISTANCE touches 8	9.6% → 5.9%	breakout confirmed from prior close/volume behavior on 2026-09-21	70%

CARBORUNIV · V3 reasons

V3 structural pivot 1,151.00 (CONFIRMED_SWING_RESISTANCE, touches 8)
2 contraction(s); tightening 100%
final contraction 5.9%
8.60% above structural pivot
5D/20D volume 1.55x
day/20D breakout volume 0.77x
breakout confirmed from prior close/volume behavior on 2026-09-21
stage detail CONFIRMED_BREAKOUT

Thresholds: confirm 0.49% · failure buffer 2.93% · pre-breakout zone 6.58% · extended 9.76%