OmmAlpha · VCP Stage Engine V3 Shadow

Read-only live comparison. Nothing on this page writes to production tables or changes ML predictions.

2026-09-30Live scan date

1Rows shadow-tested

1Stage classifications changed

vcp-stage-v3-shadow-1.0Shadow engine

Core V3 rule: pivot comes from confirmed swing resistance preceding the final contraction trough. A fresh breakout spike needs future bars before it can become a confirmed swing, so the pivot cannot chase the breakout upward the next day.

Why shadow mode first: Phase 2A ML was trained on the old detector population. Switching stage/pivot definitions without rebuilding historical signals and retraining would create model-population drift.

Stage distribution

Current production

FAILED: 1

V3 shadow

DEVELOPING: 1

Live stage comparison

Symbol	Old stage	V3 stage	Detail	Old pivot	V3 structural pivot	V3 distance	Pivot evidence	Contractions	Breakout evidence	Confidence
FIVESTAR close 517.00	FAILED	DEVELOPING	BASE_STILL_FORMING	540.00 4.26% below	540.00 2026-08-31	4.26% below	CONFIRMED_SWING_RESISTANCE touches 17	9.6% → 5.7% → 5.0% → 5.1%	—	90%

FIVESTAR · V3 reasons

V3 structural pivot 540.00 (CONFIRMED_SWING_RESISTANCE, touches 17)
4 contraction(s); tightening 100%
final contraction 5.1%
4.26% below structural pivot
5D/20D volume 1.40x
day/20D breakout volume 0.86x
stage detail BASE_STILL_FORMING

Thresholds: confirm 0.42% · failure buffer 2.52% · pre-breakout zone 5.67% · extended 8.40%