OmmAlpha · VCP Stage Engine V3 Shadow

Read-only live comparison. Nothing on this page writes to production tables or changes ML predictions.

2026-09-30Live scan date

1Rows shadow-tested

0Stage classifications changed

vcp-stage-v3-shadow-1.0Shadow engine

Core V3 rule: pivot comes from confirmed swing resistance preceding the final contraction trough. A fresh breakout spike needs future bars before it can become a confirmed swing, so the pivot cannot chase the breakout upward the next day.

Why shadow mode first: Phase 2A ML was trained on the old detector population. Switching stage/pivot definitions without rebuilding historical signals and retraining would create model-population drift.

Stage distribution

Current production

EXTENDED: 1

V3 shadow

EXTENDED: 1

Live stage comparison

Symbol	Old stage	V3 stage	Detail	Old pivot	V3 structural pivot	V3 distance	Pivot evidence	Contractions	Breakout evidence	Confidence
GESHIP close 1,561.20	EXTENDED	EXTENDED	POST_BREAKOUT_EXTENDED	1,426.90 9.41% above	1,426.90 2026-09-10	9.41% above	CONFIRMED_SWING_RESISTANCE touches 6	21.1% → 6.2% → 4.8%	breakout confirmed from prior close/volume behavior on 2026-09-21	90%

GESHIP · V3 reasons

V3 structural pivot 1,426.90 (CONFIRMED_SWING_RESISTANCE, touches 6)
3 contraction(s); tightening 100%
final contraction 4.8%
9.41% above structural pivot
5D/20D volume 1.48x
day/20D breakout volume 0.93x
breakout confirmed from prior close/volume behavior on 2026-09-21
stage detail POST_BREAKOUT_EXTENDED

Thresholds: confirm 0.26% · failure buffer 1.58% · pre-breakout zone 3.55% · extended 8.00%