OmmAlpha · VCP Stage Engine V3 Shadow

Read-only live comparison. Nothing on this page writes to production tables or changes ML predictions.

2026-09-30Live scan date

1Rows shadow-tested

0Stage classifications changed

vcp-stage-v3-shadow-1.0Shadow engine

Core V3 rule: pivot comes from confirmed swing resistance preceding the final contraction trough. A fresh breakout spike needs future bars before it can become a confirmed swing, so the pivot cannot chase the breakout upward the next day.

Why shadow mode first: Phase 2A ML was trained on the old detector population. Switching stage/pivot definitions without rebuilding historical signals and retraining would create model-population drift.

Stage distribution

Current production

BREAKOUT: 1

V3 shadow

BREAKOUT: 1

Live stage comparison

Symbol	Old stage	V3 stage	Detail	Old pivot	V3 structural pivot	V3 distance	Pivot evidence	Contractions	Breakout evidence	Confidence
HBLENGINE close 792.00	BREAKOUT	BREAKOUT	CONFIRMED_BREAKOUT	772.80 2.48% above	772.80 2026-09-09	2.48% above	CONFIRMED_SWING_RESISTANCE touches 5	11.2% → 10.9% → 10.5%	breakout confirmed from prior close/volume behavior on 2026-09-25	95%

HBLENGINE · V3 reasons

V3 structural pivot 772.80 (CONFIRMED_SWING_RESISTANCE, touches 5)
3 contraction(s); tightening 100%
final contraction 10.5%
2.48% above structural pivot
5D/20D volume 1.00x
day/20D breakout volume 0.43x
breakout confirmed from prior close/volume behavior on 2026-09-25
stage detail CONFIRMED_BREAKOUT

Thresholds: confirm 0.38% · failure buffer 2.31% · pre-breakout zone 5.19% · extended 8.00%