OmmAlpha · VCP Stage Engine V3 Shadow

Read-only live comparison. Nothing on this page writes to production tables or changes ML predictions.

2026-10-01Live scan date

1Rows shadow-tested

1Stage classifications changed

vcp-stage-v3-shadow-1.0Shadow engine

Core V3 rule: pivot comes from confirmed swing resistance preceding the final contraction trough. A fresh breakout spike needs future bars before it can become a confirmed swing, so the pivot cannot chase the breakout upward the next day.

Why shadow mode first: Phase 2A ML was trained on the old detector population. Switching stage/pivot definitions without rebuilding historical signals and retraining would create model-population drift.

Stage distribution

Current production

BREAKOUT_PENDING: 1

V3 shadow

FAILED: 1

Live stage comparison

Symbol	Old stage	V3 stage	Detail	Old pivot	V3 structural pivot	V3 distance	Pivot evidence	Contractions	Breakout evidence	Confidence
INDHOTEL close 718.00	BREAKOUT_PENDING	FAILED	FAILED_BREAKOUT	737.90 2.70% below	737.90 2026-08-31	2.70% below	CONFIRMED_SWING_RESISTANCE touches 24	5.9% → 4.8% → 4.2%	confirmed breakout later lost pivot on multiple closes	85%

INDHOTEL · V3 reasons

V3 structural pivot 737.90 (CONFIRMED_SWING_RESISTANCE, touches 24)
3 contraction(s); tightening 100%
final contraction 4.2%
2.70% below structural pivot
5D/20D volume 2.43x
day/20D breakout volume 1.31x
confirmed breakout later lost pivot on multiple closes
stage detail FAILED_BREAKOUT

Thresholds: confirm 0.25% · failure buffer 1.50% · pre-breakout zone 3.24% · extended 8.00%