OmmAlpha · VCP Stage Engine V3 Shadow

Read-only live comparison. Nothing on this page writes to production tables or changes ML predictions.

2026-09-30Live scan date

1Rows shadow-tested

0Stage classifications changed

vcp-stage-v3-shadow-1.0Shadow engine

Core V3 rule: pivot comes from confirmed swing resistance preceding the final contraction trough. A fresh breakout spike needs future bars before it can become a confirmed swing, so the pivot cannot chase the breakout upward the next day.

Why shadow mode first: Phase 2A ML was trained on the old detector population. Switching stage/pivot definitions without rebuilding historical signals and retraining would create model-population drift.

Stage distribution

Current production

BREAKOUT: 1

V3 shadow

BREAKOUT: 1

Live stage comparison

Symbol	Old stage	V3 stage	Detail	Old pivot	V3 structural pivot	V3 distance	Pivot evidence	Contractions	Breakout evidence	Confidence
WELSPUNLIV close 227.20	BREAKOUT	BREAKOUT	CONFIRMED_BREAKOUT	216.00 5.19% above	216.00 2026-09-07	5.19% above	CONFIRMED_SWING_RESISTANCE touches 7	9.3% → 6.3% → 3.9%	breakout confirmed from prior close/volume behavior on 2026-09-23	95%

WELSPUNLIV · V3 reasons

V3 structural pivot 216.00 (CONFIRMED_SWING_RESISTANCE, touches 7)
3 contraction(s); tightening 100%
final contraction 3.9%
5.19% above structural pivot
5D/20D volume 0.75x
day/20D breakout volume 0.68x
breakout confirmed from prior close/volume behavior on 2026-09-23
stage detail CONFIRMED_BREAKOUT

Thresholds: confirm 0.35% · failure buffer 2.10% · pre-breakout zone 4.73% · extended 8.00%