OmmAlpha · VCP Stage Engine V5 Shadow

Read-only live comparison. Nothing on this page writes to production tables or changes ML predictions.

2026-09-30Live scan date

1Rows shadow-tested

0Stage classifications changed

vcp-stage-v5-shadow-1.0Shadow engine

Core V5 rule: stage describes the pattern lifecycle only. Structural maturity, pivot proximity and breakout acceptance determine DEVELOPING / DEVELOPED / PRE_BREAKOUT / BREAKOUT_PENDING / BREAKOUT / EXTENDED / FAILED. Trend-template, RS, moving-average alignment and 52-week-high context are reported separately as a quality gate, so a mature base is never mislabeled DEVELOPING merely because quality is weaker.

Why shadow mode first: Phase 2A ML was trained on the old detector population. V5 remains read-only until live classifications look sensible; production promotion must be followed by historical signal rebuild and ML retraining.

Stage distribution

Current production

FAILED: 1

V4 shadow

FAILED: 1

Live stage comparison

Symbol	Old stage	V5 stage	Detail	Old pivot	V5 structural pivot	V4 distance	Pivot evidence	Contractions	Breakout evidence	Quality	Confidence
AEGISLOG close 1,380.00	FAILED	FAILED	FAILED_BREAKOUT	1,449.00 4.76% below	1,449.00 2026-08-21	4.76% below	CONFIRMED_RESISTANCE_CLUSTER touches 2	18.2% → 14.8%	confirmed breakout lost structural pivot on consecutive closes	PASS 4/4 checks	56%

AEGISLOG · V4 reasons

V5 structural pivot 1,449.00 (CONFIRMED_RESISTANCE_CLUSTER, touches 2)
2 contraction(s); tightening 100%
final contraction 14.8%
4.76% below structural pivot
5D/20D volume 0.60x
day/20D breakout volume 1.13x
separate quality gate PASS (4/4 checks)
confirmed breakout lost structural pivot on consecutive closes
stage detail FAILED_BREAKOUT

Thresholds: confirm 0.53% · healthy retest 1.87% · failure buffer 2.93% · pre-breakout zone 7.00% · extended 10.66%