OmmAlpha · VCP Stage Engine V5 Shadow

Read-only live comparison. Nothing on this page writes to production tables or changes ML predictions.

2026-09-30Live scan date

1Rows shadow-tested

0Stage classifications changed

vcp-stage-v5-shadow-1.0Shadow engine

Core V5 rule: stage describes the pattern lifecycle only. Structural maturity, pivot proximity and breakout acceptance determine DEVELOPING / DEVELOPED / PRE_BREAKOUT / BREAKOUT_PENDING / BREAKOUT / EXTENDED / FAILED. Trend-template, RS, moving-average alignment and 52-week-high context are reported separately as a quality gate, so a mature base is never mislabeled DEVELOPING merely because quality is weaker.

Why shadow mode first: Phase 2A ML was trained on the old detector population. V5 remains read-only until live classifications look sensible; production promotion must be followed by historical signal rebuild and ML retraining.

Stage distribution

Current production

BREAKOUT: 1

V4 shadow

BREAKOUT: 1

Live stage comparison

Symbol	Old stage	V5 stage	Detail	Old pivot	V5 structural pivot	V4 distance	Pivot evidence	Contractions	Breakout evidence	Quality	Confidence
CARBORUNIV close 1,250.00	BREAKOUT	BREAKOUT	CONFIRMED_BREAKOUT	1,151.00 8.60% above	1,151.00 2026-09-07	8.60% above	CONFIRMED_RESISTANCE_CLUSTER touches 2	9.6% → 5.9%	confirmed breakout remains accepted above structural pivot	PASS 4/4 checks	61%

CARBORUNIV · V4 reasons

V5 structural pivot 1,151.00 (CONFIRMED_RESISTANCE_CLUSTER, touches 2)
2 contraction(s); tightening 100%
final contraction 5.9%
8.60% above structural pivot
5D/20D volume 1.55x
day/20D breakout volume 0.77x
separate quality gate PASS (4/4 checks)
confirmed breakout remains accepted above structural pivot
stage detail CONFIRMED_BREAKOUT

Thresholds: confirm 0.49% · healthy retest 1.71% · failure buffer 2.68% · pre-breakout zone 6.58% · extended 9.76%