OmmAlpha · VCP Stage Engine V5 Shadow

Read-only live comparison. Nothing on this page writes to production tables or changes ML predictions.

2026-09-29Live scan date

1Rows shadow-tested

0Stage classifications changed

vcp-stage-v5-shadow-1.0Shadow engine

Core V5 rule: stage describes the pattern lifecycle only. Structural maturity, pivot proximity and breakout acceptance determine DEVELOPING / DEVELOPED / PRE_BREAKOUT / BREAKOUT_PENDING / BREAKOUT / EXTENDED / FAILED. Trend-template, RS, moving-average alignment and 52-week-high context are reported separately as a quality gate, so a mature base is never mislabeled DEVELOPING merely because quality is weaker.

Why shadow mode first: Phase 2A ML was trained on the old detector population. V5 remains read-only until live classifications look sensible; production promotion must be followed by historical signal rebuild and ML retraining.

Stage distribution

Current production

FAILED: 1

V4 shadow

FAILED: 1

Live stage comparison

Symbol	Old stage	V5 stage	Detail	Old pivot	V5 structural pivot	V4 distance	Pivot evidence	Contractions	Breakout evidence	Quality	Confidence
MCX close 3,290.00	FAILED	FAILED	FAILED_BREAKOUT	3,400.00 3.24% below	3,400.00 2026-08-31	3.24% below	CONFIRMED_RESISTANCE_CLUSTER touches 2	7.7% → 6.9%	confirmed breakout lost structural pivot on consecutive closes	PASS 4/4 checks	56%

MCX · V4 reasons

V5 structural pivot 3,400.00 (CONFIRMED_RESISTANCE_CLUSTER, touches 2)
2 contraction(s); tightening 100%
final contraction 6.9%
3.24% below structural pivot
5D/20D volume 1.21x
day/20D breakout volume 0.97x
separate quality gate PASS (4/4 checks)
confirmed breakout lost structural pivot on consecutive closes
stage detail FAILED_BREAKOUT

Thresholds: confirm 0.34% · healthy retest 1.20% · failure buffer 1.88% · pre-breakout zone 4.62% · extended 8.00%