OmmAlpha · VCP Stage Engine V5 Shadow

Read-only live comparison. Nothing on this page writes to production tables or changes ML predictions.

2026-09-30Live scan date

1Rows shadow-tested

0Stage classifications changed

vcp-stage-v5-shadow-1.0Shadow engine

Core V5 rule: stage describes the pattern lifecycle only. Structural maturity, pivot proximity and breakout acceptance determine DEVELOPING / DEVELOPED / PRE_BREAKOUT / BREAKOUT_PENDING / BREAKOUT / EXTENDED / FAILED. Trend-template, RS, moving-average alignment and 52-week-high context are reported separately as a quality gate, so a mature base is never mislabeled DEVELOPING merely because quality is weaker.

Why shadow mode first: Phase 2A ML was trained on the old detector population. V5 remains read-only until live classifications look sensible; production promotion must be followed by historical signal rebuild and ML retraining.

Stage distribution

Current production

BREAKOUT_PENDING: 1

V4 shadow

BREAKOUT_PENDING: 1

Live stage comparison

Symbol	Old stage	V5 stage	Detail	Old pivot	V5 structural pivot	V4 distance	Pivot evidence	Contractions	Breakout evidence	Quality	Confidence
SPLPETRO close 808.00	BREAKOUT_PENDING	BREAKOUT_PENDING	POST_BREAKOUT_AT_RISK	843.80 4.24% below	843.80 2026-09-10	4.24% below	CONFIRMED_SWING_RESISTANCE touches 1	11.2% → 6.5%	single-session breakdown below failure buffer; failure awaits confirmation	PASS 4/4 checks	56%

SPLPETRO · V4 reasons

V5 structural pivot 843.80 (CONFIRMED_SWING_RESISTANCE, touches 1)
2 contraction(s); tightening 100%
final contraction 6.5%
4.24% below structural pivot
5D/20D volume 0.74x
day/20D breakout volume 0.59x
separate quality gate PASS (4/4 checks)
single-session breakdown below failure buffer; failure awaits confirmation
stage detail POST_BREAKOUT_AT_RISK

Thresholds: confirm 0.44% · healthy retest 1.55% · failure buffer 2.44% · pre-breakout zone 5.99% · extended 8.87%